Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
3 Kansas 100.0%   1   32 - 2 14 - 2 32 - 2 14 - 2 +20.5      +10.3 3 +10.1 3 73.2 61 +23.8 2 +20.5 1
5 Texas 100.0%   3   27 - 7 13 - 3 27 - 7 13 - 3 +18.4      +9.2 5 +9.2 4 69.7 129 +16.5 12 +17.5 2
27 Kansas St. 99.9%   6   21 - 10 10 - 6 21 - 10 10 - 6 +12.6      +6.2 28 +6.4 25 71.7 79 +13.2 25 +13.8 3
30 Missouri 97.3%   9   22 - 10 8 - 8 22 - 10 8 - 8 +12.1      +6.1 30 +6.0 32 79.9 14 +12.0 30 +10.3 6
39 Texas A&M 99.5%   6   23 - 8 10 - 6 23 - 8 10 - 6 +11.0      +5.5 40 +5.5 40 60.8 318 +13.5 23 +12.5 4
49 Colorado 68.2%   11   20 - 13 8 - 8 20 - 13 8 - 8 +10.0      +5.2 45 +4.8 51 70.2 116 +9.7 49 +10.5 5
54 Nebraska 19.1%   19 - 12 7 - 9 19 - 12 7 - 9 +9.1      +4.4 58 +4.7 53 63.1 284 +8.1 64 +9.0 7
69 Oklahoma St. 14.8%   19 - 13 6 - 10 19 - 13 6 - 10 +7.5      +3.7 71 +3.8 69 66.2 223 +9.0 57 +6.1 9
73 Baylor 0.6%   17 - 13 7 - 9 17 - 13 7 - 9 +7.0      +3.5 74 +3.5 72 67.6 185 +6.6 76 +8.1 8
77 Iowa St. 0.0%   16 - 16 3 - 13 16 - 16 3 - 13 +6.2      +3.1 79 +3.1 77 75.7 35 +4.4 104 +1.4 12
107 Texas Tech 0.0%   13 - 19 5 - 11 13 - 19 5 - 11 +3.7      +1.9 104 +1.8 108 77.0 28 +2.2 136 +5.1 11
123 Oklahoma 0.0%   14 - 17 5 - 11 14 - 17 5 - 11 +2.8      +1.4 120 +1.3 123 64.1 264 +4.8 95 +5.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Texas 2.0 100.0
Kansas St. 3.0 100.0
Missouri 5.0 100.0
Texas A&M 3.0 100.0
Colorado 5.0 100.0
Nebraska 7.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 9.0 100.0
Baylor 7.0 100.0
Iowa St. 12.0 100.0
Texas Tech 10.0 100.0
Oklahoma 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Kansas 14 - 2 100.0
Texas 13 - 3 100.0
Kansas St. 10 - 6 100.0
Missouri 8 - 8 100.0
Texas A&M 10 - 6 100.0
Colorado 8 - 8 100.0
Nebraska 7 - 9 100.0
Oklahoma St. 6 - 10 100.0
Baylor 7 - 9 100.0
Iowa St. 3 - 13 100.0
Texas Tech 5 - 11 100.0
Oklahoma 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Texas
Kansas St.
Missouri
Texas A&M
Colorado
Nebraska
Oklahoma St.
Baylor
Iowa St.
Texas Tech
Oklahoma


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   84.5 15.2 0.2
Texas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   10.4 30.3 38.2 19.9 1.2 100.0%
Kansas St. 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 6   0.1 0.9 28.8 51.1 16.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Missouri 97.3% 0.0% 97.3% 9   0.4 4.5 13.3 27.2 31.8 16.8 3.1 0.1 2.7 97.3%
Texas A&M 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 6   0.0 6.3 36.1 36.2 16.4 4.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 99.5%
Colorado 68.2% 0.0% 68.2% 11   0.6 4.0 16.1 29.9 17.5 0.0 31.8 68.2%
Nebraska 19.1% 0.0% 19.1% 0.0 0.3 2.6 15.6 0.6 80.9 19.1%
Oklahoma St. 14.8% 0.0% 14.8% 0.1 1.3 12.9 0.6 85.2 14.8%
Baylor 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.4 0.2 99.4 0.6%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.3% 78.4% 56.7% 38.2% 24.2% 14.2%
Texas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.3% 68.1% 41.9% 23.4% 12.5% 6.2%
Kansas St. 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 59.7% 24.0% 9.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Missouri 97.3% 0.0% 97.3% 51.7% 14.9% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Texas A&M 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 52.2% 16.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Colorado 68.2% 8.1% 64.1% 26.2% 8.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Nebraska 19.1% 13.6% 12.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 14.8% 11.9% 8.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Baylor 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.0 0.0 0.6 21.8 56.8 19.3 1.5 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 5.8 0.0 0.8 28.9 58.7 11.2 0.4
2nd Round 100.0% 3.9 0.0 0.6 7.3 27.6 38.6 22.1 3.7 0.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 97.6% 2.1 2.4 20.8 45.4 25.6 5.3 0.5 0.1
Elite Eight 82.1% 1.2 17.9 47.0 30.1 4.7 0.3 0.0
Final Four 59.0% 0.7 41.0 49.0 9.7 0.3
Final Game 37.1% 0.4 62.9 35.1 2.0
Champion 21.2% 0.2 78.9 21.2